Research on the Formation Mechanism and Prevention and Control System of Land Financial Risk from the Perspective of Central Government Abstract The tax distribution reform in 1994 opened the prelude of "land finance" inChina, which has developed into the "second finance" of local governmentsfor a long time and occupies an important position in local fiscal revenue. At present, most of the definitions are that local governments increase or evenmaintain the stability of local fiscal revenue by transferring land use rights. With the development of economy and the constant change of land system,the influence of land finance on economic growth, social development and other aspects is also expanding day by day. From the perspective of the central government,land finance will lead to the expansion of landtransfer scale, the rise of housing price, the continuous decline of per capita cultivated land area and the continuous increase of cultivated land reduction rate, etc. These influences will inevitably increase the risks of macro-control of economy, society and ecology by the central government. Research content: in this paper, the selection of the national land finance related data,sorting out local how to lead to the central government on the development of fiscal riskmechanism, establish a risk evaluation system of the central government perspective,using the AHP analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and entropy value method to our country the central government under the perspective of land financial risk evaluation, and establish the early warning system, attempt to establish the corresponding risk prevention and control system. Research methods: AHP analytic hierarchy process, entropy weight method.Research conclusions :(1) from the perspective of the central government of China, the financial risk of land is very obvious, and it is on the alert. (2) From the perspective of the numerical comparison of risk early warning of the four risk types, the economic risk early warning score is the highest;(3) From the perspective of annual risk comparison, the degree of risk in 2013 and 2014 is relatively high. Key Words: Land financial risk; Central government perspective; Finance of land;Political risk; Economic risks; Ecological risks; Social risk; Risk prevention and control Contents Abstract I Contents I Chapter 1.Introduction 1 1.1 Research Background 1 1.2 Literature Review 1 Chapter 2.Method and Data Sources 5 2.1 The mechanism of land financial risk from the perspective of central government 5 2.2 Land finance risk assessment system and ownership confirmation method from the perspective of central government 5 Chapter 3.Empirical Research 7 3.1 AHP analytic hierarchy process calculates weight 7 3.2 Confirm the weight by entropy weight method 7 3.3 Comprehensive empowerment 7 3.4 Land financial risk early warning from the perspective of the central government 7 3.5 Land financial risk prevention and control system from the perspective of the central government 8 Chapter 4.Research Conclusions 9 Chapter 5.References 10 Biography 11 Acknowledgements 12 |
Research on the Formation Mechanism and Prevention and Control System of Land Financial Risk from the Perspective of Central Government
更新时间:2021-12-13